Europe is trailing behind other global commercial property investment markets, according to the latest Global Commercial Property Survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS). It has emerged that Europe has seen falls in its commercial activity, whilst analysts have forecasted further declines in values and rents for the rest of the year. Both France and the Netherlands performed the worst, with investment demands falling vastly in the first quarter of the year.
On the up side, there has been an increase in investor interest and confidence in Spain, Ireland, Czech Republic and Belgium, with capital values showing signs of rising. Generally, top markets on the continent were Germany and Russia, which both saw tenant demand, interest in distressed property and rental expectation increasing over the same period.
In contrast, Canada and Japan saw positive forecasts for the coming year, with rising numbers also being seen in the US, China, Hong Kong and the UAE. Out of all of these countries, Japan has marked the best improvement, backed by many governmental policies boosting commercial investment.
Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief economist, said: "The easing in risks premia has continued to underpin the global real estate market with a few notable exceptions. Significantly, Asia continues to be particularly attractive for investors but other parts of the globe including North America ... are also seeing a greater level of interest."
Generally, the survey sample was positive about global markets and investment, with the investment market still being ahead of the occupier market, and this expected to continue for some time. Asia, the UAE and North America were seen as the best bets for global investment, even though commercial lending from banks has been continually struggling since the global financial crisis hit five years ago.
- Monday 13 May 2013